Ridgecrest
Multi-class Seismic Building Damage Assessment from InSAR Imagery using Quadratic Variational Causal Bayesian Inference
Interferometric Synthetic Aperture Radar (InSAR) technology uses satellite radar to detect surface deformation patterns and monitor earthquake impacts on buildings. While vital for emergency response planning, extracting multi-class building damage classifications from InSAR data faces challenges: overlapping damage signatures with environmental noise, computational complexity in multi-class scenarios, and the need for rapid regional-scale processing. Our novel multi-class variational causal Bayesian inference framework with quadratic variational bounds provides rigorous approximations while ensuring efficiency. By integrating InSAR observations with USGS ground failure models and building fragility functions, our approach separates building damage signals while maintaining computational efficiency through strategic pruning. Evaluation across five major earthquakes (Haiti 2021, Puerto Rico 2020, Zagreb 2020, Italy 2016, Ridgecrest 2019) shows improved damage classification accuracy (AUC: 0.94-0.96), achieving up to 35.7% improvement over existing methods. Our approach maintains high accuracy (AUC > 0.93) across all damage categories while reducing computational overhead by over 40% without requiring extensive ground truth data.
- North America > Haiti (0.50)
- North America > Puerto Rico (0.25)
- Europe > Croatia > Zagreb County > Zagreb (0.25)
- (12 more...)
- Government > Regional Government > North America Government > United States Government (1.00)
- Energy (0.88)
- Information Technology > Artificial Intelligence > Representation & Reasoning > Uncertainty > Bayesian Inference (1.00)
- Information Technology > Artificial Intelligence > Machine Learning > Performance Analysis > Accuracy (1.00)
- Information Technology > Artificial Intelligence > Machine Learning > Learning Graphical Models > Directed Networks > Bayesian Learning (0.68)
[2301.02597] Neural mixture model association of seismic phases
Seismic phase association is the task of grouping phase arrival picks across a seismic network into subsets with common origins. Building on recent successes in this area with machine learning tools, we introduce a neural mixture model association algorithm (Neuma), which incorporates physics-informed neural networks and mixture models to address this challenging problem. Our formulation assumes explicitly that a dataset contains real phase picks from earthquakes and noise picks resulting from phase picking mistakes and fake picks. The problem statement is then to assign each observation to either an earthquake or noise. We iteratively update a set of hypocenters and magnitudes while determining the optimal class assignment for each pick. We show that by using a physics-informed Eikonal solver as the forward model, we can impose stringent quality control on surviving picks while maintaining high recall. We evaluate the performance of Neuma against several baseline algorithms on a series of challenging synthetic datasets and the 2019 Ridgecrest, California sequence. Neuma outperforms the baselines in precision and recall for each of the synthetic datasets. Furthermore, it detects an additional 3285 more earthquakes than the best baseline on the Ridgecrest dataset (13.5%), while substantially improving the hypocenters.
Using Latent Class Analysis to Identify ARDS Sub-phenotypes for Enhanced Machine Learning Predictive Performance
Wang, Tony, Tschampel, Tim, Apostolova, Emilia, Velez, Tom
In this work, we utilize Machine Learning for early recognition of patients at high risk of acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS), which is critical for successful prevention strategies for this devastating syndrome. The difficulty in early ARDS recognition stems from its complex and heterogenous nature. In this study, we integrate knowledge of the heterogeneity of ARDS patients into predictive model building. Using MIMIC-III data, we first apply latent class analysis (LCA) to identify homogeneous sub-groups in the ARDS population, and then build predictive models on the partitioned data. The results indicate that significantly improved performances of prediction can be obtained for two of the three identified sub-phenotypes of ARDS. Experiments suggests that identifying sub-phenotypes is beneficial for building predictive model for ARDS.
- North America > United States > Michigan > Washtenaw County > Ann Arbor (0.04)
- North America > United States > Illinois > Cook County > Chicago (0.04)
- North America > United States > California > Kern County > Ridgecrest (0.04)
- (4 more...)